Polls from Harris Insights
Harris Insights has been polling since 2002 and has published 20 polls so far; the latest was on 10/12/2022.
Parties
| Pollster | Share (%) | Date |
|---|---|---|
| REP | 53.0% | 2022-10-12 |
| DEM | 47.0% | 2022-10-12 |
Coalitions
No polls available yet.
Accuracy at past elections
Average error 4.3 percentage points across 5 elections.
Systematic over- and understatement, per party
Mean signed difference between this pollster’s final poll and the result. A positive figure means the party was stated higher than it finished.
| Party | Mean difference | Elections |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Party | -4.9 percentage points | 5 |
| Democratic Party | -1.9 percentage points | 5 |
Per election
| Election | Final poll | Days before | Parties scored | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| House election 2022 | 2022-10-12 | 27 | 2 | 1.7 percentage points |
| House election 2020 | 2020-11-01 | 2 | 2 | 3.3 percentage points |
| House election 2018 | 2018-11-05 | 1 | 2 | 4.1 percentage points |
| House election 2006 | 2006-10-22 | 16 | 2 | 8.3 percentage points |
| House election 2002 | 2002-10-23 | 13 | 2 | 4.4 percentage points |
How this is measured: for each past election we take each pollster’s last poll in the 30 days before polling day and compare it, party by party, with the result. The figure is the mean absolute difference across the parties that appear in both. Only parties the pollster actually reported are counted. A late shift in opinion is not the same thing as a polling error.