Polls from Fox News Poll

Fox News Poll has been polling since 2014 and has published 32 polls so far; the latest was on October 12, 2026. The next election is House election 2026 on November 3, 2026, in 2 days.

Parties

PollsterShare (%)Date
DEM54.0%2026-10-12
REP45.0%2026-10-12

Coalitions

No polls available yet.

Accuracy at past elections

Average error 1.8 percentage points across 4 elections.

Systematic over- and understatement, per party

Mean signed difference between this pollster’s final poll and the result. A positive figure means the party was stated higher than it finished.

Party Mean difference Elections
Democratic Party+1.5 percentage points4
Republican Party-1.5 percentage points4

Per election

Election Final poll Days before Parties scored Difference
House election 2022 2022-10-11 28 2 3.2 percentage points
House election 2018 2018-10-15 22 2 0.5 percentage points
House election 2016 2016-11-05 3 2 0.0 percentage points
House election 2014 2014-10-26 9 2 3.5 percentage points

How this is measured: for each past election we take each pollster’s last poll in the 30 days before polling day and compare it, party by party, with the result. The figure is the mean absolute difference across the parties that appear in both. Only parties the pollster actually reported are counted. A late shift in opinion is not the same thing as a polling error. For the generic congressional ballot, polls and results are both compared as two-party shares: each party’s share of the combined Democratic and Republican total. Undecided and third-party respondents therefore do not count as polling error, and the result figures in these comparisons are two-party shares too, not the raw popular vote.