Polls from Swayable

Swayable has been polling since 2020 and has published 4 polls so far; the latest was on 11/1/2020.

President

PollsterShare (%)Date
BIDEN52.0%2020-11-01
TRUMP46.0%2020-11-01
JORGENSEN2.0%2020-11-01
HAWKINS0.0%2020-11-01

Accuracy at past elections

Too few elections scored so far for an average: 1 of 3. The individual elections are below.

Per election

Election Final poll Days before Parties scored Difference
Presidential election 2020 2020-11-01 2 3 0.8 percentage points

How this is measured: for each past election we take each pollster’s last poll in the 30 days before polling day and compare it, party by party, with the result. The figure is the mean absolute difference across the parties that appear in both. Only parties the pollster actually reported are counted. A late shift in opinion is not the same thing as a polling error.