Polls from Swayable
Swayable published polls from 2020 onwards, 4 in total; the last was on November 1, 2020. The next election is House election 2026 on November 3, 2026, in 2 days.
President
| Pollster | Share (%) | Date |
|---|---|---|
| BIDEN | 52.0% | 2020-11-01 |
| TRUMP | 46.0% | 2020-11-01 |
| JORGENSEN | 2.0% | 2020-11-01 |
| HAWKINS | 0.0% | 2020-11-01 |
Accuracy at past elections
Too few elections scored so far for an average: 1 of 3. The individual elections are below.
Per election
| Election | Final poll | Days before | Parties scored | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Presidential election 2020 | 2020-11-01 | 2 | 3 | 0.8 percentage points |
How this is measured: for each past election we take each pollster’s last poll in the 30 days before polling day and compare it, party by party, with the result. The figure is the mean absolute difference across the parties that appear in both. Only parties the pollster actually reported are counted. A late shift in opinion is not the same thing as a polling error. For the generic congressional ballot, polls and results are both compared as two-party shares: each party’s share of the combined Democratic and Republican total. Undecided and third-party respondents therefore do not count as polling error, and the result figures in these comparisons are two-party shares too, not the raw popular vote.
Every polling firm side by side: the full accuracy comparison