Polls from Pew Research Center
Pew Research Center has been polling since 1998 and has published 29 polls so far; the latest was on 10/13/2022.
Parties
| Pollster | Share (%) | Date |
|---|---|---|
| DEM | 41.0% | 2022-10-13 |
| REP | 40.0% | 2022-10-13 |
Coalitions
No polls available yet.
Accuracy at past elections
Generic Congressional Ballot
Average error 3.9 percentage points across 7 elections.
Systematic over- and understatement, per party
Mean signed difference between this pollster’s final poll and the result. A positive figure means the party was stated higher than it finished.
| Party | Mean difference | Elections |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Party | -5.2 percentage points | 7 |
| Democratic Party | -1.8 percentage points | 7 |
Per election
| Election | Final poll | Days before | Parties scored | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| House election 2022 | 2022-10-13 | 26 | 2 | 8.2 percentage points |
| House election 2014 | 2014-10-17 | 18 | 2 | 3.4 percentage points |
| House election 2010 | 2010-10-29 | 4 | 2 | 3.3 percentage points |
| House election 2006 | 2006-11-03 | 4 | 2 | 3.3 percentage points |
| House election 2002 | 2002-11-01 | 4 | 2 | 3.4 percentage points |
| House election 2000 | 2000-11-04 | 3 | 2 | 3.3 percentage points |
| House election 1998 | 1998-10-30 | 4 | 2 | 2.9 percentage points |
President
Too few elections scored so far for an average: 1 of 3. The individual elections are below.
Per election
| Election | Final poll | Days before | Parties scored | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Presidential election 2020 | 2020-10-05 | 29 | 3 | 2.8 percentage points |
How this is measured: for each past election we take each pollster’s last poll in the 30 days before polling day and compare it, party by party, with the result. The figure is the mean absolute difference across the parties that appear in both. Only parties the pollster actually reported are counted. A late shift in opinion is not the same thing as a polling error.